Historical model comparison

PunkPredictor vs punks.auction

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Median accuracy

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Punk ID Picture Sold for PunkPredictor PP % Error punks.auction punks.auction % Error Date

PunkPredictor Backtest

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Understanding the Backtest Analysis

This backtest simulates trading strategies based on both models' predictions from historical CryptoPunk sales data:

  • Trade Selection: A trade opportunity is identified when a Punk is sold and at least one model predicts a higher value than the sale price.
  • Trade Decision: ✓ indicates the model would have taken the trade (predicted value > buy price), ✗ indicates it would not.
  • Profit Calculation: Actual sell price - buy price.
  • Success Rate: % of trades that resulted in profit.
  • Total Profit: Sum of all profits/losses from trades in ETH.
  • Average Profit: Total profit divided by number of trades in ETH.

punks.auction Backtest

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Punk ID Picture Buy Date Buy Price PunkPredictor valuation back then PunkPredictor Trade punks.auction valuation back then punks.auction Trade Sell Date Sell Price Profit Profit %